美国5年期国债 (US5Y) 加自选

周五，比特币短暂跌破6万美元的水平，随后稳定在6.1万美元左右，创下六周多来的最低水平。此前有报道称，以色列以伊朗、伊拉克和叙利亚的网站为目标，报复德黑兰周末对以色列的袭击，一波避险交易席卷了金融市场。一名美国官员向美国广播公司新闻证实，以色列导弹瞄准了一个市场担心可能是伊朗核设施的地点，但该官员无法证实伊拉克和叙利亚的地点是否也被击中。股票和其他风险资产也大幅下跌，而石油和黄金价格上涨。加密货币面临压力，并将连续第三周下跌，因为投资者将投资从风险资产转向更安全的资产。与此同时，一些分析师坚持认为，在地缘政治和经济不确定性时期，比特币和其他加密资产可以提供另一种价值存储方式。

Bitcoin briefly fell below the $60,000 level on Friday before stabilizing around $61,000, hitting its lowest levels in over six weeks as a wave of risk-off trades took over financial markets following reports that Israel targeted sites in Iran, Iraq and Syria in retaliation to Tehran’s weekend attack against Israel over the weekend. A US official confirmed to ABC News that Israeli missiles targeted a site that markets fear could be an Iranian Nuclear Facility, but the official could not confirm whether Iraq and Syria sites were also hit. Equities and other risk assets also tumbled, while oil and gold rallied. Cryptocurrencies came under pressure and are set to decline for the third consecutive week as investors shift investments from risky assets into safer ones. Meanwhile, some analysts maintained that Bitcoin and other crypto assets could provide an alternative store of value in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainties.

周五，美元指数上涨至106.3，连续第二个交易日攀升，并接近五个多月来的最高水平，因为投资者减少了对美联储降息的押注，并开始考虑今年根本不降息的可能性。明尼阿波利斯联储主席尼尔·卡什卡利呼吁对降息保持耐心，称第一步可能要到2025年才能实施。纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯也表示，再次加息不是他的基本情况，但由于通货膨胀风险，仍有可能。尽管如此，市场仍在押注美联储将在9月首次降息。在经济方面，包括首次申请失业救济人数和费城联储制造业指数在内的最新美国数据继续表明经济具有韧性。美元兑大多数主要货币创下多个月新高，但在日本央行上田表示可能再次加息后，美元兑日元从34年高点回落。

The dollar index rose toward 106.3 on Friday, climbing for the second straight session and marching towards its highest levels in over five months as investors scaled back bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts and started entertaining the possibility of no reductions at all this year. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari called for patience on rate reductions, saying the first move may not take place until 2025. New York Fed President John Williams also said that another rate hike isn’t his base case, but is still possible due to inflationary risks. Still, markets are betting that the Fed will deliver its first rate cut in September. On the economic front, fresh US data including initial jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index continued to point to a resilient economy. The dollar scaled fresh multi-month highs against most major currencies, but retreated from 34-year highs versus the yen after BOJ’s Ueda said they may raise rates again.

美国股市期货周五小幅下跌，因华尔街的连败仍在继续。在延长交易中，尽管季度业绩强劲，但Netflix仍下跌了5%，但该流媒体表示，2025年将不再报告订阅数量。在周四的常规交易中，标准普尔500指数和纳斯达克综合指数分别下跌0.22%和0.52%，连续第五个交易日下跌，本周迄今分别下跌2.2%和3.6%。与此同时，道琼斯指数小幅上涨0.06%，但也将连续第三周下跌。这些损失发生之际，投资者减少了对美联储降息的押注，并开始考虑今年根本不降息的可能性。明尼阿波利斯联储主席尼尔·卡什卡利呼吁对政策调整保持耐心，称第一步可能要到2025年才能进行。投资者现在期待着周五宝洁、美国运通和SLB等公司的更多盈利报告。

US stock futures edged lower on Friday as the losing streak on Wall Street continues. In extended trading, Netflix dropped 5% despite strong quarterly results, but the streamer said it would no longer report subscription numbers in 2025. In regular trading on Thursday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 0.22% and 0.52%, respectively, sliding for the fifth straight session and down 2.2% and 3.6%, respectively, so far this week. Meanwhile, the Dow inched up 0.06% but is also set to decline for the third straight week. Those losses came as investors scaled back bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts and started entertaining the possibility of no reductions at all this year. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari called for patience in policy adjustment, saying the first move may not take place until 2025. Investors now look ahead to more earnings reports on Friday from Procter & Gamble, American Express and SLB, among others.

美国股市周三收盘涨跌互现，标准普尔500指数和纳斯达克指数连续5天下跌，分别下跌0.2%和0.5%，道琼斯指数上涨24点。交易员们继续消化最新的企业业绩、包括首次申领失业救济金和费城联储制造业指数在内的强劲经济数据，以及长期利率上升的前景。半导体类股跌幅最大，除英伟达（+0.7%）外，其他半导体类股均为负值，而台湾半导体制造业在人工智能需求强劲的情况下实现了一年来的首次利润增长。在德意志银行将特斯拉评级从买入下调至持有后，特斯拉股价下跌3.5%。另一方面，Meta在宣布其AI助手后上涨1.5%。拉斯维加斯金沙集团股价下跌8.6%，此前第一季度营收略高于预期。网飞公司定于今天收盘后公布财报。

US stocks closed mixed on Wednesday, as the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq booked their 5-day losing streak, down 0.2% and 0.5%, respectively, while the Dow Jones added 24 points. Traders continue to digest fresh corporate results, strong economic data including initial claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index and prospects of higher-for-longer interest rates. Semiconductors stocks dragged the most as all were trading in the negative territory except Nvidia (+0.7%) while Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing booked its first profit rise in a year amid strong AI demand. Tesla dropped 3.5% after a Deutsche Bank downgrade to hold from buy. On the other hand, Meta advanced 1.5% after announcing its AI assistant. Las Vegas Sands fell 8.6% after Q1 revenue narrowly beat forecasts. Netflix is due to report earnings today after the closing bell.