欧元/美元 (EURUSD) 加自选

根据API《每周统计公报》的数据，继前一周增加303.4万桶后，截至2024年4月12日的一周，美国原油库存增加了409.9万桶。这标志着原油库存连续第二周增加，也是四周来最大的单周涨幅。

Crude oil stocks in the US increased by 4.090 million barrels in the week ending April 12th, 2024, following a 3.034 million barrel rise in the previous week, according to data from the API's Weekly Statistical Bulletin. It marked the second straight week of increase in crude oil inventories and the biggest weekly gains in four weeks.

美国股市周二涨跌互现，投资者对另一批企业季度业绩和美联储主席鲍威尔的评论作出反应。标准普尔500指数和纳斯达克指数分别下跌0.2%和0.1%，道琼斯指数上涨63点，这得益于联合健康公司的乐观业绩。美联储主席鲍威尔强调有必要长期维持更高的利率以对抗通胀，这一言论打压了市场情绪。在盈利消息中，联合健康公司在盈利和收入均超过预期后，股价飙升5.2%。摩根士丹利股价上涨2.5%，业绩乐观。相反，纽约梅隆银行在利润增长5%后亏损2%。美国银行下跌3.5%，因投资者失望，强生公司下跌2%，尽管业绩喜忧参半。PNC股价下跌2%，因收入低于预期，其盈利表现黯然失色。特斯拉股价下跌2.7%，此前有消息称该电动汽车制造商推迟了Cybertruck的交付。

Stocks in the US finished mixed on Tuesday, as investors reacted to another batch of corporate quarterly results and Fed Chair Powell's comments. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq lost 0.2% and 0.1% respectively, while the Dow Jones gained 63 points, supported by upbeat results from UnitedHealth. Fed Chair Powell's comments emphasizing the necessity of maintaining higher rates for an extended period to combat inflation weighed on the market's sentiment. In earnings news, UnitedHealth surged 5.2% after beating estimates for both earnings and revenue. Morgan Stanley rose 2.5% on upbeat results. Conversely, Bank of New York Mellon lost 2% following a 5% increase in profits. Bank of America slipped 3.5% after disappointing investors, and Johnson & Johnson fell 2% despite posting mixed results. PNC declined 2% as its earnings beat was overshadowed by revenue falling short of forecasts. Tesla slipped 2.7% after news that the EV maker has delayed Cybertruck deliveries.

欧元汇率接近1.063美元，为五个月来最低，受到欧洲央行和美联储不同情景的压力。拉加德总统周二证实，欧洲央行将很快降息，并补充说，地缘政治事件尚未对大宗商品价格产生实质性影响。投资者现在预计欧洲央行将于6月首次降息，2024年底前再降息两次。另一方面，同样在周二，美联储主席鲍威尔表示，通胀数据表明，美国央行可能需要更多时间来放心地降低利率。这表明，美联储官员并不认为有迫切需要降低利率，并暗示2024年的任何降息都可能在年底前发生。

The euro was trading near $1.063, the lowest in five months, pressured by diverging scenarios for the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve. President Lagarde confirmed Tuesday that the ECB will cut rates soon, adding that geopolitical events haven't had a substantial impact on commodity prices. Investors now anticipate the first ECB rate cut in June and two more before the end of 2024. On the other hand, also on Tuesday, Fed Chair Powell said inflation data indicate the US central bank may need more time to feel comfortable lowering interest rates. This indicates that Fed officials don't feel a pressing need to lower rates and implies that any rate cuts in 2024 may occur toward the end of the year if they happen at all.

周二，美元指数连续第五个交易日上涨至106.4，为11月1日以来的最高点，因为最近的数据和几位美联储官员的露面强化了美国利率将在更长时间内保持高位的观点。美联储主席鲍威尔周二在华盛顿威尔逊中心的一次小组讨论中表示：“鉴于劳动力市场的强劲和迄今为止在通胀问题上的进展，允许限制性政策有更多的时间发挥作用，并让数据和不断变化的前景指导我们是合适的”。这表明，美联储官员并不认为有迫切需要降低利率，并暗示2024年的任何降息都可能在年底前发生，如果真的发生的话。早些时候，强于预期的美国零售销售、通货膨胀和劳动力数据表明，美国经济依然强劲。美元兑欧元和英镑创下五个月新高，创下34年新高，而日元接近155大关，创下了34年新低。

The dollar index rose for a fifth straight session to reach 106.4 on Tuesday, the highest since November 1st as recent data and appearances by several Fed officials reinforced the view that interest rates in the United States are set to remain higher for longer. “Given the strength of the labor market and progress on inflation so far, it is appropriate to allow restrictive policy further time to work and let the data and the evolving outlook guide us”, Fed Chair Powell said during a panel discussion at the Wilson Center in Washington on Tuesday. This indicates that Fed officials don't feel a pressing need to lower rates and implies that any rate cuts in 2024 may occur toward the end of the year, if they happen at all. Earlier, stronger-than-expected US retail sales, inflation, and labour data pointed out that the US economy remains strong. The dollar reached a five-month high against the euro and the pound and a new 34-year high while the yen approached the 155 mark, a new 34-year low.