SET 50指数跌至3年半低点819.74点。过去4周，泰国SET 50指数下跌0.73%，过去12个月下跌11.51%。

SET 50 decreased to a 3-1/2-year low of 819.74 Index Points. Over the past 4 weeks, Thailand SET 50 Index lost 0.73%, and in the last 12 months, it decreased 11.51%.

正如预期的那样，泰国央行在2024年4月的会议上将其关键利率稳定在2.5%，连续第三次会议暂停。政策制定者表示，当前的政策利率与维持经济增长保持一致，同时促进宏观金融的长期稳定。泰国经济预计在2024年和2025年分别增长2.6%和3%，这得益于旅游业前景的改善、私人消费的持续扩张以及今年剩余时间公共支出的加速。与此同时，该国2024年和2025年的通货膨胀率估计分别为0.6%和1.3%，这与供应过剩导致的某些原材料食品价格下降以及政府补贴延长导致的能源价格下降有关。泰国3月消费者价格同比下降0.47%，低于2月的0.77%，近一年保持在央行1-3%的目标区间以下，主要受能源补贴影响。

The Bank of Thailand kept its key interest rate steady at 2.5% in its April 2024 meeting as expected, extending its pause for the third consecutive meeting. Policymakers said the current policy interest rate remains consistent with sustaining growth while fostering macro-financial stability in the longer term. The Thai economy is seen to grow by 2.6% in 2024 and 3% in 2025, supported by an improvement in the tourism outlook, continued expansion of private consumption, and an acceleration of public expenditure in the remainder of the year. Meanwhile, the country’s inflation is estimated at 0.6% in 2024 and 1.3% in 2025, linked to the drop in prices of certain raw food items due to excess supply and the decrease in energy prices due to an extension of government subsidies. Consumer prices in Thailand fell by 0.47% year-on-year in March, less than a 0.77% drop in February, remaining below the central bank’s target range of 1-3% for nearly a year, mainly affected by energy subsidies.

泰国商会大学的消费者信心指数从上月的63.8降至2024年3月的63。这是由于经济复苏缓慢和生活成本上升，消费者士气在连续七次好转后首次下降。根据一项官方调查，消费者开始对经济表现和不断上涨的能源成本表示担忧。然而，随着推迟的预算通过后政府支出的加速，未来信心可能会反弹。泰国国内生产总值在2024年第一季度环比下降0.6%。2月，泰国央行将2024年经济增长预期从3.2%下调至2.5%至3.0%。

The University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce’s consumer confidence index fell to 63 in March 2024 from 63.8 in the previous month. It was the first decline in consumer morale after improving for seven consecutive times, due to slow economic recovery and elevated living costs. According to an official survey, consumers were starting to express concerns about the economy's performance and escalating energy costs. However, confidence may rebound in the future as government spending accelerates after a delayed budget was passed. Thailand’s GDP shrank 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in the Q1 of 2024. In February, the Bank of Thailand lowered its 2024 growth outlook between 2.5% and 3.0% from 3.2%.

2024年3月，泰国消费者价格同比下降0.47%，较上月的0.77%有所回落，而市场预测的降幅为0.40%。这是消费者价格连续第六个时期下跌，主要是由于肉类、鱼类和新鲜蔬菜的成本下降，食品和非酒精饮料持续通缩（2月份为-0.57%，2月份为-0.97%）。此外，非食品价格继续下降（-0.40%对-0.63%），这与柴油和电力成本的降低有关。与此同时，核心通胀率从之前的0.43%降至0.37%，这是自2021年12月以来的最低水平。继2月份上涨0.22%之后，CPI环比小幅上涨0.03%。

The consumer prices in Thailand fell 0.47% year-on-year in March 2024, easing from a 0.77% drop in the previous month and compared to market forecasts of a 0.40% decline. It was the sixth consecutive period of falling consumer prices, driven by an ongoing deflation for food and non-alcoholic beverages (-0.57% vs -0.97% in February), mainly due to lower costs of meat, fish and fresh vegetables. In addition, prices continued to decrease for non-food products (-0.40% vs -0.63%), linked to reduced costs of diesel oil and electricity. Meanwhile, the core inflation rate was down to 0.37% from a prior 0.43%, marking the lowest rate since December 2021. On a monthly basis, the CPI inched up 0.03%, following a 0.22% increase in February.