随着投资者消化了一批经济数据及其对欧洲央行和美联储政策轨迹的潜在影响,10年期德国国债收益率回落至2.6%以下,与4月25日达到的五个月高点2.6455%相距甚远。在欧洲,欧洲央行的一项调查显示,3月份,欧盟12个月的通胀预期降至2021年12月以来的最低水平,为3.0%。此外,欧盟的贷款仍然停滞不前,这强化了人们的信念,即央行最早可能在6月实施首次降息。与此同时,在美国,第一季度和3月通胀压力持续的迹象,加上强劲的消费数据,表明美联储不太可能在9月之前开始降低借贷成本。
The yield on the 10-year German Bund retreated below 2.6%, distancing itself from the five-month peak of 2.6455% reached on April 25th, as investors digested a batch of economic data and its potential impact on the policy trajectory of both the ECB and Federal Reserve. In Europe, an ECB survey indicated that 12-month inflation expectations in the bloc were trimmed in March to their lowest level since December 2021, standing at 3.0%. Additionally, the bloc's lending remained stagnant, reinforcing the belief that the central bank may implement its first rate cut as early as June. Meanwhile, in the US, indications of persistent inflationary pressures throughout the first quarter and March, combined with robust consumption figures, suggested that the Fed is unlikely to initiate any borrowing cost reductions before September.