澳大利亚20年期国债 (Australia20Y) 加自选

2024年3月，澳大利亚自住住房的新住房贷款价值环比增长2.8%，达到174.8亿澳元，轻松超过市场预测的1.0%，并从上月的1.5%小幅修正后的增长速度加快。现有住房的购买速度加快（3.5%对1.4%），而住房建设反弹（3.2%对-1.7%）。然而，新建住宅的购买量在之前增长6.2%后下降了5.1%。从地理位置来看，大多数州和地区的新房贷款都有所增加：新南威尔士州（2.4%）、维多利亚州（2.0%）、昆士兰州（5.6%）、南澳大利亚州（2.8%）、西澳大利亚州（6.3%）、塔斯马尼亚州（17.8%）和北领地（13.6%）。相反，他们在澳大利亚首都地区暴跌（-19.2%）。按年度计算，新住房贷款的价值增长了11.4%。

The value of new home loans for owner-occupied homes in Australia grew by 2.8% month-on-month to A$ 17.48 billion in March 2024, easily exceeding market forecasts of 1.0% and accelerating from a marginally revised 1.5% rise in the prior month. The purchase of existing dwellings accelerated (3.5% vs 1.4%) while construction of dwellings rebounded (3.2% vs -1.7%). However, the purchase of newly erected dwellings fell 5.1% after increasing 6.2% previously. Geographical-wise, new home loans increased in most states and territories: New South Wales (2.4%), Victoria (2.0%), Queensland (5.6%), South Australia (2.8%), West Australia (6.3%), Tasmania (17.8%), and Northern Territory (13.6%). Conversely, they plunged in the Australian Capital Territory (-19.2%). On an annual basis, the value of new home loans jumped by 11.4%.

标准普尔/澳交所200指数周五上涨0.4%，收于7600点以上，连续第二个交易日上涨，追随华尔街隔夜涨幅，因为美联储减轻了对再次加息的担忧。在国内，投资者将评估澳大利亚住房贷款数据，以衡量房地产行业的健康状况。投资者还期待着澳大利亚储备银行下周的政策决定，以进一步了解国内利率的走势。指数权重股涨幅显著，如Pilbara Minerals（2%）、Wesfarmers（1.1%）和South32（1.3%）。在企业新闻方面，Block Inc上涨9.7%，母公司Square上调了盈利预期。与此同时，麦格理集团（Macquarie Group）股价下跌1.6%，此前该集团公布年度利润下降32%，原因是大宗商品价格下跌给其大宗商品交易部门带来压力，且出售绿色能源资产的收入减少。

The S&P/ASX 200 Index gained 0.4% to above 7,600 on Friday, rising for the second straight session and tracking gains on Wall Street overnight as the US Federal Reserve allayed fears of another interest rate hike. Domestically, investors will assess Australian housing loans data to gauge the health of the property sector. Investors also look forward to the Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy decision next week for further clues on the path for domestic interest rates. Notable gains were seen from index heavyweights such as Pilbara Minerals (2%), Wesfarmers (1.1%) and South32 (1.3%). In corporate news, Block Inc rallied 9.7% as parent company Square upgraded its earnings outlook. Meanwhile, Macquarie Group tumbled 1.6% after reporting a 32% fall in annual profit as weaker commodity prices weighed on its commodities trading division and it made less money selling green energy assets.

根据最终读数，柔道银行-澳大利亚综合产出指数从上月的53.3降至2024年4月的53。澳大利亚私营部门产出增长稳健，但增速略慢。由于制造业产出持续下降，商业活动增长主要局限于服务业。这一趋势也反映在新订单中。产出和新订单的整体增长导致4月份就业水平上升。随着制造业和服务业通胀加剧，投入成本以最快的速度上升。然而，总体产出价格通胀有所缓解。澳大利亚私营部门的情绪依然乐观，但自3月份以来略有缓解。服务业乐观情绪的下降抵消了对商品生产部门信心的提高。

The Judo Bank Australia Composite Output Index decreased to 53 in April 2024 from 53.3 in a month earlier, according to final readings. The Australian private sector output grew at a solid pace, but slightly slower. Business activity growth was primarily limited to the service sector, as manufacturing output continued to decline. This trend was also reflected in new orders. The overall growth in output and new orders led to higher employment levels in April. Input costs rose at the fastest pace as inflation intensified across both the manufacturing and service sectors. However, overall output price inflation eased. Sentiment in Australia's private sector remained positive but slightly eased since March. The reduction in service sector optimism offset an improvement in confidence in the goods-producing sector.

最终数据显示，柔道银行澳大利亚服务业PMI商业活动从上月的54.4降至2024年4月的53.6。报告指出，服务业活动连续第三次扩张，尽管速度较慢，因为房地产和商业服务业的活动在新业务流入增加的推动下增长最快。随着需求的改善，服务业新业务连续第三个月增长，达到2022年5月以来的最快速度。此外，新出口业务在3月份下降后恢复增长，支持了整体新业务的增长。公司增加了就业水平以应对持续的工作量，其中消费服务部门的员工人数增长最快。投入品价格继续上涨，将通货膨胀序列延长到不到四年。更高的能源、劳动力和投入材料成本导致平均投入价格高于系列平均水平。

The Judo Bank Flash Australia Services PMI Business Activity fell to 53.6 in April 2024 from 54.4 in the previous month, final readings showed. It pointed to a third consecutive expansion in services activity, albeit at a softer pace as the real estate & business services sector saw the sharpest rise in activity driven by higher new business inflows. Services new business increased for a third straight month, reaching the fastest pace since May 2022 as demand improved. Additionally, new export business returned to growth after falling in March, supporting the uptick in overall new business. Firms increased their employment levels to cope with ongoing workloads, with headcounts rising at the fastest pace in the consumer services sector. Input prices continued to rise, extending the sequence of inflation to just under four years. Higher energy, labor, and input material costs led to average input prices rising above the series average.