新西兰10年期国债 (NewZealand10Y) 加自选

受公用事业、科技、医疗保健和工业股拖累，新西兰股市在前一交易日表现疲软，周五早盘下跌60.8点，跌幅0.5%，至11813.3点。在高通胀率的情况下，投资者继续消化该国失业率上升至三年来的新高。投资者预计下周将公布4月份的商业采购经理人指数，此前一个月该指数继续收缩，并创下三个月低点。在美联储保持利率并排除今年加息的可能性后，交易员们欢呼雀跃，华尔街隔夜表现乐观。早期下跌的股票包括埃博拉集团（-2.9%）、新西兰水星公司（-2.3%）、干线货运公司（-1.8%）和接触能源公司（-0.8%）。然而，本周该指数将上涨0.1%，这将是美联储决定保持利率的情况下连续第二周上涨，这表明今年没有加息的机会。

New Zeland's shares dropped 60.8 points or 0.5% to 11,813.3 on Friday morning trade after being muted in the previous session, dragged by utilities, tech sectors, healthcare, and industrials. Investors continued to digest increases in the jobless rate to a three-year high in the country amid a high inflation rate. Investors anticipate releases of business PMI for April next week after the reading continued to contract in the previous month and hit its three-month low. Capping the fall was an upbeat session on Wall Street overnight as traders cheered after the Fed kept its interest rates and ruled out interest rate hikes this year. Among early decliners were Ebos Group (-2.9%), Mercury NZ (-2.3%), Mainfreight (-1.8%), and Contact Energy (-0.8%). For the week, however, the index is heading for a 0.1% rise, which would be the 2nd straight weekly gain amid the Fed's decision to hold interest rates and signaling no chance of a rate hike this year.

新西兰元上涨至0.59美元以上，收复了本周早些时候的失地，因为在美联储保持利率稳定，美联储主席鲍威尔排除了再次加息的可能性后，美元下跌，重申了央行尽管推迟加息，但仍持宽松态度。在新西兰，本周的数据显示，第一季度失业率上升至4.3%，高于预测，为三年来的最高水平，这使新西兰储备银行更接近于先于美联储降息。投资者押注于第四季度的降息，大多数经济学家也表示同意，尽管一些人预计官方现金利率将保持不变，直到2025年。市场现在期待着澳大利亚储备银行下周的政策决定，这可能会影响国内货币政策的前景。

The New Zealand dollar rose above $0.59, recouping losses from earlier in the week as the US dollar retreated after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and Fed Chair Powell ruled out the possibility of another rate hike, reiterating the central bank’s easing bias despite a delay. In New Zealand, data this week showed that the unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in the first quarter, above forecasts and the highest in three years, putting the Reserve Bank of New Zealand closer to cutting rates before the Fed. Investors are betting on a fourth-quarter rate cut and most economists concur, although some expect the official cash rate to remain unchanged until 2025. Markets now look forward to the Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy decision next week, which could influence the outlook for domestic monetary policy.

新西兰基准标准普尔/新西兰元50指数周四几乎持平，收于11874点，抵消了早盘的跌幅，此前美联储决定如预期保持利率不变。此外，主席Jerome Powell表示，央行的下一步行动不太可能是加息。在经济数据方面，新西兰3月份新住宅的建筑许可数量较上月小幅下降0.2%，经季节性调整后为2931套。总体而言，股市涨跌互现，Fisher&Paykel（-0.4%）、Auckland Intl Airport（-0.5%）、Infratil（-0.2%）和Spark NZ（-0.12%）跌幅显著。同时，Meridian Energy（0.2%）、Mercury NZ（2.5%）、Mainfreight（2.4%）和Contact Energy（0.4%）为绿色。

New Zealand's benchmark S&P/NZX 50 index was nearly flat to close at 11,874 on Thursday, erasing losses from the morning session, following the US Federal Reserve’s decision to keep its interest rate unchanged, as expected. Moreover, Chair Jerome Powell stated that it was unlikely that the central bank’s next move would be a rate hike. On the economic data front, the number of building consents issued for new dwellings in New Zealand inched lower by 0.2% from a month earlier to a seasonally adjusted 2,931 units in March. Across the board, stocks traded mixed, with notable losses seen from Fisher & Paykel (-0.4%), Auckland Intl Airport (-0.5%), Infratil (-0.2%), and Spark NZ (-0.2%). Meanwhile, Meridian Energy (0.2%), Mercury NZ (2.5%), Mainfreight (2.4%), and Contact Energy (0.4%), were in the green.

周四早盘，新西兰股市下跌11.6点，跌幅0.1%，至11856点，这是美联储连续第二天保持利率稳定，并表示仍在学习最终降低借贷成本。周四的数据显示，新西兰第一季度失业率升至4.3%，略高于4.2%的预测，并达到三年来的最高水平，交易员对此持谨慎态度。尽管市场希望更高的失业率将迫使新西兰储备银行在2025年第二季度之前大幅削减官方现金利率，但随着高通胀的持续，人们越来越相信新西兰储备银行将在下次会议上保持其政策利率。周三，新西兰储备银行发表声明，称该国金融体系依然强劲，限制了跌幅。消费类股、医疗保健股和公用事业股领跌，F&C Investment Trust（-1.4%）、Fisher&Paykel（-0.8%）和A2 Milk（-0.18%）下跌。

The stock market in New Zealand fell 11.6 points or 0.1% to 11,856 in early trade on Thursday, treating for the 2nd straight day after the Fed left interest rate steady and signaled it is still learning towards eventual reductions in borrowing costs. Traders were cautious after Thursday's data showed that the unemployment rate in New Zealand increased to 4.3% in Q1, slightly higher than the forecast of 4.2%, and reached its highest in three years. The figures grew bets that the RBNZ will hold its policy rates for the next meeting, as high inflation persists, despite the market's hope that the higher jobless rate to force the RBNZ to slash its official cash rates sooner than Q2 2025. Limiting the fall was Wednesday's statement from the RBNZ that the country's financial system remained strong. Consumer stocks, healthcare, and utilities led the decline amid falls from F & C Investment Trust (-1.4%), Fisher & Paykel (-0.8%), and A2 Milk (-0.8%).