镍 (Nickel) 加自选

美元指数周一跌至106以下，因为投资者避免在本周美联储货币政策会议之前下大赌注。在强劲的美国经济数据和政策制定者的鹰派言论下，人们普遍预计美联储将在会议上保持利率稳定。周五，该指数上涨0.5%，因为最新的美国PCE报告显示价格压力仍然上升，年度头条新闻和核心指标出人意料地上涨。与此同时，早些时候的数据显示，2024年第一季度美国经济年化增长1.6%，为两年来最低，远低于2.5%的预测。投资者还期待周五公布的4月非农就业报告，以寻找劳动力市场强劲的线索。美元全面回落，但由于市场继续押注日本央行，美元兑日元汇率回升至34年新高。

The dollar index eased below 106 on Monday as investors avoided making big bets ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting this week, where it is widely expected to hold interest rates steady amid strong US economic data and hawkish rhetoric from policymakers. On Friday, the index jumped half a percent as the latest US PCE report showed price pressure remained elevated, with the annual headline and core measures surprising on the upside. Meanwhile, earlier data showed that the US economy expanded an annualized 1.6% in Q1 2024, the lowest in 2 years and well below forecasts of 2.5%. Investors also look forward to April’s nonfarm payrolls reports on Friday for clues on the strength of the labor market. The dollar pulled back across the board, but rallied to fresh 34-year highs against the yen as the market continued to bet against the Bank of Japan.

2024年3月，对泰国的进口同比增长5.6%，达到261.2亿美元的10个月高点，超过了市场预测的4.55%，比上月3.2%的增长有所加快。这是今年迄今为止购买量连续第三个月增长，也是自去年11月以来最快的一个月，因为国内需求的复苏势头增强，据报道，政府准备在今年晚些时候根据“数字钱包”倡议提供现金刺激。考虑到今年前三个月，购买量增长了3.81%。2023年，进口下降了3.8%。泰国进口的许多材料都被组装成成品，然后再次运出。

Imports to Thailand increased by 5.6 percent year-on-year to a 10-month high of USD 26.12 billion in March 2024, exceeding market forecasts of 4.55% and accelerating from a 3.2% growth a month earlier. It was the third straight month of growth in purchases so far this year and the steepest pace since last November as recovery in domestic demand gained traction, with the government reportedly preparing to provide cash stimulus under the "digital wallet" initiative later this year. Considering the first three months of the year, purchases grew by 3.81 percent. In 2023, imports fell by 3.8 percent. Many of the materials Thailand imports are assembled into completed goods and shipped out again.

2024年3月，泰国出人意料地出现11.6亿美元的贸易逆差，而2023年同月的顺差为27.2亿美元，低于市场预测的8.2亿美元顺差，因为出口大幅下降，而进口却在增长。这是连续第三个月出现贸易逆差，出货量同比下降10.9%，至249.6亿美元，八个月来首次下降，而采购量增长5.6%，至261.2亿美元，较上月3.2%的增长有所加快，超过了市场预测的4.55%。今年第一季度，贸易差额为44.8亿美元，出口萎缩0.2%，进口增长3.8%。

Thailand unexpectedly posted a trade deficit of USD 1.16 billion in March 2024, shifting from a surplus of USD 2.72 billion in the same month of 2023, missing market forecasts of a USD 0.82 billion surplus, as exports plunged while imports grew. It was the third straight month of trade deficit, with shipments slumping 10.9% from a year earlier to USD 24.96 billion, falling for the first time in eight months, while purchases rose 5.6% to USD 26.12 billion, accelerating from a 3.2% rise in the prior month and exceeding market forecasts of 4.55%. In the first quarter of the year, the trade balance posted a deficit of USD 4.48 billion, with exports shrinking by 0.2% while imports advancing by 3.8%.

2024年3月，泰国出口额同比下降10.9%，至249.6亿美元，低于市场预期的4.5%的降幅，与上月3.6%的增幅大幅逆转。这是八个月来出口的首次下降，也是自2022年12月以来的最大降幅，受农产品（-9.9%）和工业产品（-12.3%）的拖累，主要是汽车、设备和零部件（-12.4%）、计算机、设备和部件（-11.8%）、空调和部件（-12.7%）以及半导体、晶体管和二极管（-16.1%）。与此同时，农产品出口微升0.1%。在主要贸易伙伴中，对中国（-9.7%）、日本（-19.3%）、欧盟（-0.1%）和东盟（-26.1%）的出口下降。2024年第一季度，出口小幅下降0.2%。泰国设定了今年出口增长1%-2%的目标。去年，该国的出口下降了1%。

Exports from Thailand shrank 10.9% year-on-year to USD 24.96 billion in March 2024, worse than market expectations of a 4.5% fall, reversing sharply from a 3.6% rise in the prior month. It was the first decline in exports in eight months and the steepest fall since December 2022, dragged down by agricultural products (-9.9%) and industrial products (- 12.3%), mainly automobiles, equipment, and parts (-12.4%), computers, equipment, and parts (-11.8%), air conditioners and components (-12.7%), and semiconductors, transistors, and diodes (-16.1%). Meanwhile, exports of agricultural products edged up 0.1%. Among major trading partners, exports dropped to China (-9.7%), Japan (-19.3%), the EU (-0.1%), and the ASEAN (-26.1%). For the first quarter of 2024, exports inched down by 0.2%. Thailand set a target for exports to rise 1%-2% this year. Last year, the country's exports dropped by 1%.